Is the Strait of Hormuz Open?
NO
Day 6 of the largest shipping disruption since WWII
Crisis Severity Score
Last updated: Thu, 05 Mar 2026 06:00:00 GMT
~0
ships detected today
vs ~138 daily average ↓ 100%
AIS Reliability Warning: Ships are switching off transponders to avoid targeting. Electronic warfare is disrupting signals. Any count is a lower bound, not exact.
~3,200 ships (4% global tonnage) idle in Gulf region
~100 container ships (10% of global fleet) affected
Sources: Windward, MarineTraffic, JMIC | Clarksons Research, ONE CEO at TPM26
$83.74
+$11.74 (+16.3%)
Pre-crisis: $72.00
$74.42
+$9.42 (+14.5%)
Pre-crisis: $65.00
$48.00
+$18.00 (+60.0%)
Pre-crisis: $30.00
$3.19
+$0.22 (+7.4%)
Pre-crisis: $2.97
Carrier Status
8/8 Major Lines Suspended35+ vessels trapped in Gulf | Emergency surcharges: $1,500-4,000/TEU
All Hormuz transits suspended. Bookings halted for UAE, Oman, Iraq, Kuwait, Qatar, Bahrain, Saudi Arabia (Dammam/Jubail). Also paused trans-Suez via Bab el-Mandeb.
14 vessels trapped (70K TEU)
Emergency Freight Increase active
Updated: Mar 4
Declared 'End of Voyage' for all Gulf-bound cargo — most drastic step. All worldwide bookings to Middle East suspended. 15 ships (109K TEU) trapped in Gulf.
15 vessels trapped (109K TEU)
Updated: Mar 3
All vessels ordered to shelter. Suez transits suspended. Fleet largely diverted — only APL Holland still shows Gulf destination.
1 vessels trapped
Emergency Conflict Surcharge: $2,000/TEU, $4,000 reefers
Updated: Mar 2
All Hormuz transits suspended. Full booking stop for Upper Gulf countries with immediate effect.
War Risk Surcharge: $1,500/TEU, $3,500 reefers/specialty
Updated: Mar 4
All new bookings suspended with immediate effect. Vessels inside Gulf ordered to safe waters. 2x 18,980 TEU vessels + 3 feeders west of Strait.
5 vessels trapped
Updated: Mar 4
Precautionary measures active. CEO at TPM26: ~750 ships backed up, ~100 container ships (10% of global fleet). ONE Majesty trapped bound for Mundra.
Updated: Mar 2
Advisory warning of 'highly volatile security environment.' Expects delays, schedule changes, higher costs. Evaluating alternative routes.
Updated: Mar 4
Avoiding Hormuz transit.
Updated: Mar 3
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When Will YOU Feel This?
Oil price pass-through to pump takes 1-2 weeks. US average already up $0.22/gal in one week.
Fertilizer prices surge (Gulf is major exporter). Food transport costs up via fuel. Cape of Good Hope reroute adds 10-14 days.
Asia-Europe container routes disrupted. Cape reroute adds weeks. Component supply chains stressed.
Heavy Gulf shipping dependency. Petrochemical inputs for plastics and rubber affected by oil spike.
India supplies 40%+ of US generic drugs. Indian pharma depends on Gulf active pharmaceutical ingredient imports.
Asia-sourced textiles face longer transit. Polyester (petroleum-derived) costs up.
Furniture, appliances heavily shipped from Asia via Gulf transshipment hubs like Jebel Ali. Full reroute needed.
Estimates are illustrative scenarios based on Cape of Good Hope reroute adding 10-14 days + 2-3 weeks supply chain propagation. Actual impact varies by retailer, inventory levels, and sourcing.
How Will This Affect YOUR Wallet?
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P&I Insurance Status
WithdrawnWar Risk Premiums
0.125% → 0.2% – 1.0%
8x increase
VLCC Transit Cost
$125,000 → Up to $1,000,000
per passage
Crisis Timeline
P&I insurance formally removed for Hormuz transit. Strait declared high-risk zone.
Economic blockade now independent of military threat. Passage unviable even without physical danger.
IRGC claims 'complete control.' US strikes Iranian warship off Sri Lanka. Trump pledges Navy escorts + insurance.
3,200 ships idle (4% global tonnage). Brent $82+. US gas $3.19/gal.
EU gas peaks above 60 EUR/MWh (nearly 2x in days). 5+ tankers damaged, 2 crew killed.
Goldman raises Q2 Brent forecast +$10. India/Qatar issue force majeure.
IRGC confirms strait 'closed.' Zero AIS-broadcasting tankers at midnight.
All major carriers suspend. Houthis resume Red Sea attacks.
Tanker traffic collapses: 3 tankers vs 50 the day before. 240 ships cluster near strait.
P&I clubs begin withdrawing coverage.
US-Israel strikes on Iran (Operation Epic Fury). Khamenei killed. IRGC warns ships via VHF.
Brent +10-13%. Traffic -70% within hours.